Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.658225 0.852299 1.071652 1.334793 1.638774 1.975953 2.375243
2025-03-30 0.419352 0.667377 0.984258 1.404251 1.932090 2.560209 3.350682
2025-04-06 0.259423 0.517787 0.892052 1.436074 2.170771 3.095543 4.314161
2025-04-13 0.145435 0.381564 0.775012 1.402546 2.308813 3.507378 5.149263
2025-04-20 0.084295 0.297980 0.707198 1.416585 2.500248 3.991069 6.095133
2025-04-27 0.047021 0.234886 0.650945 1.431363 2.684646 4.467871 7.047644
2025-05-04 0.021072 0.171591 0.570331 1.386637 2.767777 4.800502 7.813191
2025-05-11 0.007506 0.122067 0.495884 1.333800 2.825358 5.091216 8.524375
2025-05-18 0.002528 0.094589 0.459345 1.341284 2.975402 5.518551 9.435910
2025-05-25 0.000337 0.066562 0.405262 1.301081 3.037233 5.811165 10.159862
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.057909 0.405288 1.373105 3.296072 6.412444 11.343936
2025-06-08 NaN 0.043841 0.377485 1.377419 3.432117 6.825145 12.260517
2025-06-15 NaN 0.040510 0.391028 1.482360 3.763262 7.565123 13.692115
2025-06-22 NaN 0.034483 0.389251 1.550317 4.030060 8.212149 15.002647
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026906 0.373598 1.580883 4.227455 8.753420 16.167276
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017411 0.334832 1.543315 4.289430 9.074624 17.005718
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012490 0.316798 1.557376 4.451881 9.564304 18.108882
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008780 0.300564 1.572655 4.615932 10.059280 19.227419
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004663 0.266018 1.524711 4.645280 10.325996 19.996503
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002037 0.232041 1.468202 4.650011 10.547872 20.697191
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001079 0.218513 1.476128 4.792282 11.009765 21.781670
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000307 0.192776 1.433171 4.818399 11.267601 22.546090
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000226 0.198670 1.510032 5.116928 12.013010 24.098110